2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 131 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,025/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$739
Tax + insurance
−$114
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$215
Net cashflow
$-43/mo
Annual
$-518/yr
Cap rate
5.93%
Cash-on-cash
-1.31%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$39,452
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $141k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-43 ($-518/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $133k (5.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (27.3% below list).
It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($124k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $102k (27.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($974 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#267 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
Avoyelles Parish (rural): math 22% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #56 of 98 in LA (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Avoyelles Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Avoyelles County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AZTZ0J9RPDRMKC
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29