3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,706 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,058/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,484
Tax + insurance
−$472
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$432
Net cashflow
$-330/mo
Annual
$-3,963/yr
Cap rate
4.89%
Cash-on-cash
-5.00%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$79,251
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $283k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-330 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $235k (16.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (27.3% below list).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($275k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $206k (27.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#79 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gibsonville Elementary (math 46% / reading 46%, grade D-, #551 of 1,410 statewide, top 40%, 564 students, 60% FRL); Eastern Guilford Middle (math 26% / reading 38%, grade F, #317 of 475 statewide, top 68%, 980 students, 75% FRL); Eastern Guilford High (math 25% / reading 37%, grade F, #454 of 535 statewide, top 85%, 1,198 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 52% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B09SQAD7BFZ69P
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29