4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,475 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Other
· Pending
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,244/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,353
Tax + insurance
−$555
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$471
Net cashflow
$-135/mo
Annual
$-1,618/yr
Cap rate
6.25%
Cash-on-cash
-0.16%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$72,226
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-135 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (2.4% below list).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $223k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#60 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Carroll County (rural): math 42% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #38 of 174 in GA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sharp Creek Elementary School (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #554 of 1,228 statewide, top 46%, 554 students, 81% FRL); Temple Middle School (math 31% / reading 36%, grade F, #206 of 470 statewide, top 45%, 621 students, 67% FRL); Temple High School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #213 of 424 statewide, top 51%, 746 students, 62% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 876 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carroll County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.8% in Temple — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B0BCPY6T89NBSX
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29