4 bd · 4.5 ba ·
3,152 sqft ·
Built 2012
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,507/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,141
Tax + insurance
−$1,066
HOA
−$97
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$526
Net cashflow
$-2,323/mo
Annual
$-27,880/yr
Cap rate
1.64%
Cash-on-cash
-16.62%
DSCR
0.26
1% rule
0.42%
Cash to close
$167,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $599k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-28k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (67.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $251k (58.1% below list).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($581k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $196k (67.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $64k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $60k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#51 in MO, #3,695 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Park Hill (urban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #26 of 324 in MO (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 234 units permitted in Platte County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Platte County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$103k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 67% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B0EECZ92YBTM9C
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29