6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,138 sqft ·
Built 1922
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,449/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,098
Tax + insurance
−$621
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$934
Net cashflow
$796/mo
Annual
$9,554/yr
Cap rate
8.68%
Cash-on-cash
8.53%
DSCR
1.38
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$112,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $400k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $796 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $265/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $400k).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#42 in CT, #2,997 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute D-.
Naugatuck School District (suburban): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #105 of 153 in CT (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hop Brook Elementary School (math 37% / reading 27%, grade F, #361 of 553 statewide, top 68%, 328 students, 61% FRL); Naugatuck High School (math 20% / reading 44%, grade F, #129 of 194 statewide, top 69%, 1,288 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 35% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 112 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
15 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask is 75% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $230k; list at $400k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.4% in Naugatuck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,449/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($96k/yr) (locally 788% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B0MAT1FHGYPA3J
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29