3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,375 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,303/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$409
Tax + insurance
−$61
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$274
Net cashflow
$559/mo
Annual
$6,712/yr
Cap rate
14.90%
Cash-on-cash
30.73%
DSCR
2.37
1% rule
1.67%
Cash to close
$21,840
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#505 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Calhoun County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #46 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: White Plains Elementary School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #171 of 627 statewide, top 31%, 539 students, 55% FRL); White Plains High School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #90 of 305 statewide, top 35%, 389 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 126 active listings in the ZIP; 135 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Calhoun County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.