2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built —
· Condo
· Active
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,267/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,280
Tax + insurance
−$296
HOA
−$315
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$476
Net cashflow
$-100/mo
Annual
$-1,195/yr
Cap rate
5.80%
Cash-on-cash
-1.75%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$68,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $244k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-100 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $226k (7.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (7.1% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $226k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#65 in IL, #1,104 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
Lyons Twp Hsd 204 (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #43 of 620 in IL (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Lyons Twp High Sch (math 49% / reading 53%, grade D+, #41 of 693 statewide, top 6%, 3,842 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 88 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $190k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B1CCMP7AP4X305
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29