3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,875 sqft ·
Built 2005
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,074/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$458
HOA
−$101
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$436
Net cashflow
$-363/mo
Annual
$-4,353/yr
Cap rate
4.71%
Cash-on-cash
-5.65%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-363 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (19.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (24.6% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $207k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#72 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Hamilton E. Holmes Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #996 of 1,228 statewide, top 83%, 538 students, 100% FRL); Paul D. West Middle School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #381 of 470 statewide, top 82%, 803 students, 100% FRL); Tri-Cities High School (math 5% / reading 30%, grade F, #264 of 424 statewide, top 63%, 1,483 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 41% district-wide (59 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-35 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fulton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 293 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B1ZK0DEHFFF3A1
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29