3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,634 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Land
· Pending
· 147 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,160/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,353
Tax + insurance
−$185
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$454
Net cashflow
$169/mo
Annual
$2,023/yr
Cap rate
7.08%
Cash-on-cash
2.80%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$72,240
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $258k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $169 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (16.3% below list).
It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $216k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Tuloso-Midway ISD (urban): math 33% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #408 of 826 in TX (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $72k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B29DZZ761C410D
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29