493 Mckellar Cir

Paradise, NV 89119

$788,000C+

8 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,924 sqft · Built 1963 · MultiFamily · Active · 255 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $8,990/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$4,132
• Tax + insurance: −$476
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,888
• Net cashflow: $2,494/mo
• Annual: $29,928/yr
• Cap rate: 10.09%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.56%
• DSCR: 1.60
• 1% rule: 1.14%
• Cash to close: $220,640

Investor read

• This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $788k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($30k/yr) — positive. Per door: $623/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $788k).
• It's been on market 255 days — a 12% lower offer ($693k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $693k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#10 in NV, #3,494 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A-, cost of living B; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime D-.
• Clark County School District (urban): math 21% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 17 in NV (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.8%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 14,754 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (2,301 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Clark County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 4 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $61k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $347k; list at $788k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• At $8,990/mo this rent would consume 230% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 4678% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 255 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?