4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,764 sqft ·
Built 1932
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 57 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,536/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$739
Tax + insurance
−$235
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$323
Net cashflow
$239/mo
Annual
$2,874/yr
Cap rate
8.33%
Cash-on-cash
7.28%
DSCR
1.32
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$39,452
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $141k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $141k).
It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $137k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $974 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#671 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Benton Harbor Area Schools (urban): math 4% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #732 of 760 in MI (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 179 active listings in the ZIP; 397 units permitted in Berrien County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Berrien County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B2KDBF342P26KC
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29