38 bd · 38.0 ba ·
16,237 sqft ·
Built 1960
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 143 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$74,455/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$44,575
Tax + insurance
−$11,053
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$15,636
Net cashflow
$3,191/mo
Annual
$38,296/yr
Cap rate
6.75%
Cash-on-cash
1.64%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$2,380,000
Investor read
This is a 19 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $8.50M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($38k/yr) — positive. Per door: $168/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $7.45M (12.4% below list).
It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($7.48M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $7.45M (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $658k of equity ($59k loan paydown + $599k appreciation (7.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#26 in CA, #984 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Tamalpais Union High (suburban): math 62% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #42 of 517 in CA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 149 units permitted in Marin County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marin County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $4.38M; list at $8.50M implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (7.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2.38M cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$1.05M cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 1.9% in Corte Madera — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-B40562F6NGABMR
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29