10 Otha Dr

Lincolndale, NY 10536

$598,000C+

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,839 sqft · Built 1958 · SingleFamily · Pending · 30 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $5,767/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$3,136
• Tax + insurance: −$521
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,211
• Net cashflow: $899/mo
• Annual: $10,785/yr
• Cap rate: 8.10%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.44%
• DSCR: 1.29
• 1% rule: 0.96%
• Cash to close: $167,440

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $598k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $899 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $577k (3.6% below list).
• It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($589k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $577k (3.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#523 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
• Somers Central School District (suburban): math 65% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #95 of 590 in NY (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Primrose School (527 students, 10% FRL); Somers Middle School (math 43% / reading 69%, grade B-, #205 of 729 statewide, top 29%, 569 students, 9% FRL); Somers Senior High School (math 92% / reading 87%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 980 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools at 10% FRL track the district average.
• Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.