2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
877 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 49 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$882/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$283
Tax + insurance
−$119
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$185
Net cashflow
$295/mo
Annual
$3,539/yr
Cap rate
12.85%
Cash-on-cash
23.41%
DSCR
2.04
1% rule
1.63%
Cash to close
$15,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($882 rent vs $54k).
It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $52k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($373 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#977 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
Arthur CUSD 305 (rural): math 24% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #252 of 620 in IL (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Piatt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Piatt County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B47PF19CFMHMEG
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29