6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,108 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,349/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,302
Tax + insurance
−$1,183
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,123
Net cashflow
$740/mo
Annual
$8,886/yr
Cap rate
8.32%
Cash-on-cash
7.23%
DSCR
1.32
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$122,920
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $439k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $740 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $439k).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#32 in CT, #2,205 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D.
Waterbury School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #148 of 153 in CT (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: B. W. Tinker School (math 12% / reading 19%, grade F, #470 of 553 statewide, top 85%, 567 students, 69% FRL); West Side Middle School (math 8% / reading 23%, grade F, #165 of 175 statewide, top 94%, 817 students, 81% FRL); John F. Kennedy High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #147 of 194 statewide, top 78%, 1,297 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools at 77% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.8%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $125k; list at $439k implies a 251% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $123k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.5% in Waterbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,349/mo this rent would consume 95% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 1276% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B4B1JJ3XX73654
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29