6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,544 sqft ·
Built 1906
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 91 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,161/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,042
Tax + insurance
−$967
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,084
Net cashflow
$69/mo
Annual
$825/yr
Cap rate
6.44%
Cash-on-cash
0.51%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$162,400
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $580k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($825/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $516k (11.0% below list).
It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($528k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $516k (11.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Portland SD 1J (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #23 of 183 in OR (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Abernethy Elementary School (353 students, 11% FRL); Hosford Middle School (566 students, 27% FRL); Cleveland High School (1,547 students, 17% FRL) — zoned schools average 18% FRL vs 37% district-wide (18 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 55d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.3% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,161/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($87k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior paint
— Peeling paint
Major: interior paint
— Peeling paint
Major: kitchen appliances
— Outdated appliances
Major: bathroom fixtures
— Outdated fixtures
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown vegetation
CashFlowRE · CFR-B4KXKY9AX7XEQB
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29