6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,544 sqft ·
Built 1906
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,237/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,278
Tax + insurance
−$1,042
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,100
Net cashflow
$-182/mo
Annual
$-2,184/yr
Cap rate
5.94%
Cash-on-cash
-1.25%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$175,000
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $625k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-182 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $599k (4.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $524k (16.2% below list).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($606k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $524k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Portland SD 1J (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #23 of 183 in OR (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Abernethy Elementary School (353 students, 11% FRL); Hosford Middle School (566 students, 27% FRL); Cleveland High School (1,547 students, 17% FRL) — zoned schools average 18% FRL vs 37% district-wide (18 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.3% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,237/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($87k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior paint
— Peeling paint
Major: interior paint
— Peeling paint
Major: kitchen appliances
— Outdated appliances
Major: bathroom fixtures
— Outdated fixtures
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown vegetation
CashFlowRE · CFR-B4KXKY9AX7XEQB
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29