1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
672 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Manufactured
· Active
· 515 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,394/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$131
Tax + insurance
−$18
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$293
Net cashflow
$952/mo
Annual
$11,421/yr
Cap rate
51.98%
Cash-on-cash
163.16%
DSCR
8.26
1% rule
5.58%
Cash to close
$7,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $952 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
It's been on market 515 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $501 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#127 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Seligman Unified District (4472) (rural): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #339 of 501 in AZ (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Seligman Elementary School (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #548 of 1,109 statewide, top 51%, 139 students, 67% FRL); Seligman High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #154 of 381 statewide, top 53%, 60 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 54% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 293 active listings in the ZIP; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (57%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $5k; list at $25k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 52.0% vs local median 4.1% in Seligman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 515 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B525717BQZCXYZ
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29