2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,120 sqft ·
Built 1947
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 133 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$984/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$207
Net cashflow
$260/mo
Annual
$3,115/yr
Cap rate
10.45%
Cash-on-cash
14.86%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
1.31%
Cash to close
$20,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($984 rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 54/100 on livability (#583 in KS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Ft Larned (town): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #49 of 169 in KS (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Fort Larned Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #165 of 684 statewide, top 28%, 431 students, 63% FRL); Larned Middle School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #72 of 219 statewide, top 38%, 198 students, 54% FRL); Larned Sr High (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #60 of 327 statewide, top 24%, 235 students, 51% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP.
Pawnee County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $20k; list at $75k implies a 274% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B56GBBD7DHKV4D
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29