3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,252 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 287 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,103/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$679
Tax + insurance
−$93
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$232
Net cashflow
$99/mo
Annual
$1,187/yr
Cap rate
7.21%
Cash-on-cash
3.27%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$36,260
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $99 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (14.8% below list).
It's been on market 287 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($895 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#115 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Searcy County School District (rural): math 39% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #82 of 238 in AR (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Marshall Elementary School (math 64% / reading 34%, grade D, #93 of 454 statewide, top 23%, 293 students, 99% FRL); Leslie Elementary School (math 47% / reading 37%, grade D-, #78 of 201 statewide, top 40%, 190 students, 98% FRL); Marshall High School (math 28% / reading 43%, grade F, #85 of 292 statewide, top 30%, 358 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 57% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP.
Searcy County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $18k; list at $130k implies a 619% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.5% in Marshall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 287 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29