2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,054 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Manufactured
· Active
· 140 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,127/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$564
Tax + insurance
−$179
HOA
−$248
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$237
Net cashflow
$-101/mo
Annual
$-1,208/yr
Cap rate
5.17%
Cash-on-cash
-4.01%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$30,100
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $108k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-101 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $93k (13.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $108k).
It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $93k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($743 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#248 in FL, #3,918 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute D-, health & safety D-.
Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Zellwood Elementary (math 38% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,560 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 493 students, 55% FRL); Wolf Lake Middle (math 57% / reading 52%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 1,194 students, 45% FRL); Apopka High (math 19% / reading 47%, grade F, #406 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 3,507 students, 42% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— The cabinets appear to be in good condition, but some may need touch-up paint.
Minor: Living room carpet
— The carpet appears to be in good condition, but some may need cleaning.
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— The fixtures appear to be in good condition, but some may need cleaning.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29