6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,782 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Land
· Active
· 155 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,686/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,989
Tax + insurance
−$397
HOA
−$83
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$564
Net cashflow
$-1,348/mo
Annual
$-16,173/yr
Cap rate
3.46%
Cash-on-cash
-10.13%
DSCR
0.55
1% rule
0.47%
Cash to close
$159,597
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/4.0-bath land listed at $570k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $332k (41.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $269k (52.9% below list).
It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($502k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $269k (52.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $61k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $57k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#605 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Nassau (town): math 74% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #4 of 73 in FL (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 601 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 953 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$98k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 53% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B6B3XD39HPZE99
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29