2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
988 sqft ·
Built 1925
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$892/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$309
Tax + insurance
−$57
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$187
Net cashflow
$338/mo
Annual
$4,055/yr
Cap rate
13.17%
Cash-on-cash
24.55%
DSCR
2.09
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$16,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($892 rent vs $59k).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $55k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#809 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Jasper County CUD 1 (town): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #253 of 620 in IL (top 41%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Newton Elem School (math 25% / reading 26%, grade F, #829 of 2,056 statewide, top 41%, 487 students, 0% FRL); Jasper Co Jr High (math 42% / reading 47%, grade D, #95 of 665 statewide, top 15%, 192 students, 0% FRL); Newton Comm High School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #319 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 385 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 37% district-wide (37 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP.
Jasper County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B6GPT63ZA8PZHQ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29