2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,075 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Condo
· Pending
· 95 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,406/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$676
HOA
−$774
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$925
Net cashflow
$326/mo
Annual
$3,917/yr
Cap rate
7.50%
Cash-on-cash
4.30%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
1.36%
Cash to close
$91,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $325k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $326 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $325k).
It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $296k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-503 appreciation (-0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Gulfport Montessori Elementary School (math 35% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,744 of 2,144 statewide, top 82%, 435 students, 86% FRL); Bay Point Middle School (math 38% / reading 38%, grade F, #388 of 571 statewide, top 69%, 770 students, 69% FRL); Lakewood High School (math 27% / reading 44%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 915 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 48% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pinellas average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 285 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 13442% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $105k; list at $325k implies a 210% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,406/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($103k/yr) (locally 106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B7D5VK75XJ20QX
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29