2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,105 sqft ·
Built 1967
· Condo
· Pending
· 221 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,206/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$244
HOA
−$777
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$463
Net cashflow
$-170/mo
Annual
$-2,037/yr
Cap rate
5.09%
Cash-on-cash
-4.28%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$47,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-170 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (17.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
It's been on market 221 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $140k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#107 in MD, #4,259 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 82 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $76k; list at $170k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.3% in Greenbelt — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 221 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
CashFlowRE · CFR-B7WH2D895QZ9NJ
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29