5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,920 sqft ·
Built 1910
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,725/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$95
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$782
Net cashflow
$2,691/mo
Annual
$32,288/yr
Cap rate
113.92%
Cash-on-cash
384.38%
DSCR
18.10
1% rule
12.42%
Cash to close
$8,400
Investor read
This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $30k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($32k/yr) — positive. Per door: $897/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $30k).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#470 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
Jamestown City School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #553 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Clinton V Bush Elementary School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,277 of 2,108 statewide, top 64%, 276 students, 74% FRL); George Washington Middle School (math 14% / reading 29%, grade F, #660 of 729 statewide, top 91%, 469 students, 86% FRL); Jamestown High School (math 87% / reading 92%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 1,315 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 60% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 52% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Jamestown City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 315 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 113.9% vs local median 16.8% in Jamestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,725/mo this rent would consume 90% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B7X6HE08S7NX4E
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29