3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,280 sqft ·
Built 2003
· Manufactured
· Active
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,115/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$217
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$234
Net cashflow
$-17/mo
Annual
$-207/yr
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.57%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-17 ($-207/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (1.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (14.2% below list).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $112k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#87 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
Hampton School District (rural): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #205 of 238 in AR (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Hampton Elementary School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #305 of 454 statewide, top 71%, 285 students, 70% FRL); Hampton High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #255 of 292 statewide, top 89%, 258 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 56% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP.
Calhoun County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29