3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,768 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Coming Soon
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,650/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,201
Tax + insurance
−$371
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$346
Net cashflow
$-268/mo
Annual
$-3,220/yr
Cap rate
4.89%
Cash-on-cash
-5.02%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$64,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $229k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-268 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (20.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (27.9% below list).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($215k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $165k (27.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#62 in IA, #1,413 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
East Mills Community School District (rural): math 71% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #100 of 289 in IA (top 35%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: East Mills Elementary School (math 67% / reading 62%, grade B, #317 of 616 statewide, top 58%, 232 students, 52% FRL); East Mills Jr/Sr High School (math 72% / reading 82%, grade A-, #60 of 336 statewide, top 21%, 215 students, 36% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 39 units permitted in Mills County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mills County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $180k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29