3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
864 sqft ·
Built 2008
· Other
· Active
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,300/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,098
Tax + insurance
−$443
HOA
−$51
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$483
Net cashflow
$-775/mo
Annual
$-9,295/yr
Cap rate
3.97%
Cash-on-cash
-8.30%
DSCR
0.63
1% rule
0.57%
Cash to close
$112,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $400k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-775 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $263k (34.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (42.5% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $230k (42.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#97 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Rockwood R-VI (suburban): math 51% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #9 of 324 in MO (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Geggie Elem. (math 43% / reading 60%, grade C-, #268 of 1,115 statewide, top 24%, 654 students, 7% FRL); Lasalle Springs Middle (math 46% / reading 59%, grade C+, #54 of 391 statewide, top 14%, 872 students, 12% FRL); Eureka Sr. High (math 36% / reading 66%, grade D+, #109 of 521 statewide, top 21%, 1,712 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools at 10% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 807 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 3.2% in Eureka — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B8BMY1A1315AEQ
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29