3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,804 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 214 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,302/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,019
Tax + insurance
−$642
HOA
−$50
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$483
Net cashflow
$-892/mo
Annual
$-10,706/yr
Cap rate
3.51%
Cash-on-cash
-9.93%
DSCR
0.56
1% rule
0.60%
Cash to close
$107,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $385k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-892 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $256k (33.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (40.2% below list).
It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $230k (40.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.0%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-B8WYMCBH8R594A
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29