2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,800 sqft ·
Built 1947
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 56 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,055/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$96
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$30/mo
Annual
$361/yr
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.95%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $30 ($361/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (21.8% below list).
It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#464 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Jenkins County (rural): math 26% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #119 of 174 in GA (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Jenkins County Elementary School (math 31% / reading 30%, grade F, #620 of 1,228 statewide, top 51%, 569 students, 93% FRL); Jenkins County Middle School (math 22% / reading 29%, grade F, #288 of 470 statewide, top 62%, 256 students, 93% FRL); Jenkins County High School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #162 of 424 statewide, top 40%, 321 students, 93% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 72% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Jenkins County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jenkins County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.5% in Millen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B9HFER9H2G0W84
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29