4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
4,040 sqft ·
Built 2005
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 270 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,682/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,019
Tax + insurance
−$416
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$563
Net cashflow
$-316/mo
Annual
$-3,789/yr
Cap rate
5.31%
Cash-on-cash
-3.51%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$107,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $385k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-316 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $329k (14.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $268k (30.3% below list).
It's been on market 270 days — a 12% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $268k (30.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#61 in IN, #4,105 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Brownsburg Community School Corporation (suburban): math 72% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #2 of 301 in IN (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 64 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,294 units permitted in Hendricks County in 2024 (18 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hendricks County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $195k; list at $385k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.8% in Brownsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 270 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BB8SDA5W4EVKQ2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29