4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,400 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 334 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,297/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$272
Net cashflow
$92/mo
Annual
$1,102/yr
Cap rate
7.11%
Cash-on-cash
2.92%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $92 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (3.9% below list).
It's been on market 334 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#305 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
Sumter 01 (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #64 of 80 in SC (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 386 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sumter County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 334 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BBCC9EA18RMRKB
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29