2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,831 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Condo
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,966/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,967
Tax + insurance
−$502
HOA
−$199
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$623
Net cashflow
$-324/mo
Annual
$-3,886/yr
Cap rate
5.26%
Cash-on-cash
-3.70%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$105,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $375k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-324 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $353k (5.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $297k (20.9% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $297k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#25 in MI, #516 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
Plymouth-Canton Community Schools (suburban): math 58% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #27 of 540 in MI (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Smith Elementary School (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A-, #74 of 1,397 statewide, top 7%, 343 students, 10% FRL); West Middle School (math 63% / reading 68%, grade A-, #36 of 493 statewide, top 7%, 675 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools at 14% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 238 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
11 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $215k; list at $375k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.2% in Plymouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($114k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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