3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,568 sqft ·
Built 2003
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,156/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$822
Tax + insurance
−$162
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$243
Net cashflow
$-71/mo
Annual
$-854/yr
Cap rate
5.75%
Cash-on-cash
-1.95%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$43,890
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $157k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-71 ($-854/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (8.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (26.3% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($152k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $116k (26.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#150 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Empire (rural): math 24% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #133 of 270 in OK (top 49%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Empire Es (math 42% / reading 22%, grade F, #213 of 845 statewide, top 28%, 265 students, 0% FRL); Empire Hs (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #274 of 447 statewide, top 66%, 148 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 41% district-wide (41 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Stephens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BC2YDG93QC5RT7
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29