2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
884 sqft ·
Built 1949
· Other
· Active
· 320 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$625/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$53
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$131
Net cashflow
$-5/mo
Annual
$-65/yr
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.27%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5 ($-65/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $84k (1.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $62k (26.5% below list).
It's been on market 320 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $62k (26.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#34 in MO, #2,977 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime C-, commute C-, amenities D.
West Plains R-VII (rural): math 36% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #152 of 324 in MO (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: West Plains Elem. (math 41% / reading 40%, grade F, #525 of 1,115 statewide, top 47%, 766 students, 66% FRL); West Plains Middle (math 33% / reading 39%, grade F, #237 of 391 statewide, top 61%, 611 students, 58% FRL); West Plains Sr. High (math 27% / reading 65%, grade D-, #170 of 521 statewide, top 33%, 1,162 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 320 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 53 units permitted in Howell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Howell County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.1% in West Plains — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 320 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BC8RDR19N81A65
· Data 29 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29