3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,286 sqft ·
Built 1899
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 59 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,740/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,666
Tax + insurance
−$998
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,415
Net cashflow
$661/mo
Annual
$7,933/yr
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.05%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$195,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $699k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $661 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $674k (3.6% below list).
It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($678k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $674k (3.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#116 in NY, #1,876 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D+, cost of living F.
Ossining Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #104 of 590 in NY (top 18%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.9% in Ossining — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,740/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($116k/yr) (locally 1248% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BCAP9CD9657Z8J
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29