4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,710 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,225/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$242
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$-34/mo
Annual
$-408/yr
Cap rate
6.01%
Cash-on-cash
-1.00%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-34 ($-408/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (3.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (15.5% below list).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (15.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#413 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
Valentine Community Schools (town): math 55% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #47 of 111 in NE (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Valentine Middle School (math 57% / reading 52%, grade B-, #32 of 128 statewide, top 28%, 160 students, 51% FRL); Valentine High School (math 44% / reading 44%, grade F, #146 of 261 statewide, top 67%, 164 students, 40% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Cherry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cherry County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Carpeted floors
— Significant wear and tear.
Moderate: Interior walls/paint
— Chipped paint in some areas.
Minor: Landscaping
— Sparse and in need of maintenance.
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Dated appearance but functional.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BCJ1M5715BZ2A5
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29