3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,353 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 767 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,027/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$357
Tax + insurance
−$608
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$216
Net cashflow
$-153/mo
Annual
$-1,838/yr
Cap rate
11.12%
Cash-on-cash
17.23%
DSCR
1.77
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$19,040
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-153 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $41k (39.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
It's been on market 767 days — a 12% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $41k (39.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#104 in TX, #3,483 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Eastland ISD (town): math 45% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #349 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Siebert El (math 49% / reading 43%, grade D-, #1,097 of 4,322 statewide, top 26%, 491 students, 65% FRL); Eastland Middle (math 41% / reading 36%, grade F, #704 of 1,662 statewide, top 43%, 257 students, 59% FRL); Eastland H S (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #652 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 309 students, 57% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10 units permitted in Eastland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Eastland County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.1% in Eastland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 767 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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