3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,450 sqft ·
Built 1995
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 112 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,154/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$176
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$242
Net cashflow
$-156/mo
Annual
$-1,877/yr
Cap rate
5.19%
Cash-on-cash
-3.94%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$47,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-156 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (16.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (32.1% below list).
It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (32.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#209 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
Scranton School District (rural): math 35% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #105 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Scranton Elementary School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #254 of 454 statewide, top 59%, 239 students, 56% FRL); Scranton High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #48 of 292 statewide, top 19%, 198 students, 43% FRL).
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Logan County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $130k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BD77EAETN01VH3
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29