3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,951 sqft ·
Built 1987
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 74 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,100/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$151
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$231
Net cashflow
$-278/mo
Annual
$-3,332/yr
Cap rate
4.54%
Cash-on-cash
-6.27%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.58%
Cash to close
$53,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-278 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (25.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (42.1% below list).
It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (42.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#275 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Spiro (rural): math 18% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #178 of 270 in OK (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Spiro Es (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #413 of 845 statewide, top 54%, 571 students, 0% FRL); Spiro Ms (math 16% / reading 18%, grade F, #193 of 345 statewide, top 60%, 202 students, 0% FRL); Spiro Hs (math 17% / reading 34%, grade F, #141 of 447 statewide, top 31%, 290 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 73 units permitted in Le Flore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Le Flore County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $93k; list at $190k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BDB0RK26HA6FM5
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29