3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
951 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 161 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,730/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$352
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$363
Net cashflow
$-374/mo
Annual
$-4,494/yr
Cap rate
4.60%
Cash-on-cash
-6.06%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-374 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $199k (25.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (34.7% below list).
It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $173k (34.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#103 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, crime A-; Watch: commute C-, cost of living C-, amenities F.
Southwick-Tolland-Granville Regional School District (rural): math 34% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #189 of 302 in MA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Southwick Regional School (math 36% / reading 44%, grade F, #229 of 343 statewide, top 67%, 625 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 23% district-wide (23 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 453 units permitted in Hampden County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hampden County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $125k; list at $265k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.7% in Westfield — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29