2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 2016
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,260/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$425
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$265
Net cashflow
$-767/mo
Annual
$-9,201/yr
Cap rate
2.68%
Cash-on-cash
-12.89%
DSCR
0.43
1% rule
0.49%
Cash to close
$71,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-767 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (43.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (50.6% below list).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($247k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $126k (50.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#722 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Adirondack Central School District (rural): math 41% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #426 of 590 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Adirondack Middle School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #550 of 729 statewide, top 77%, 279 students, 55% FRL); Adirondack High School (math 92% / reading 92%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 360 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 39% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 61% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Adirondack Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 2.7% vs local median 5.6% in Rome — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 51% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BDJJ7F13CARY00
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29