1702 Judd St SE

Lacey, WA 98053

$775,000B-

24 bd · 16.0 ba · 3,088 sqft · Built 1973 · MultiFamily · Active · 80 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $13,414/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$4,064
• Tax + insurance: −$1,292
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$2,817
• Net cashflow: $5,241/mo
• Annual: $62,895/yr
• Cap rate: 14.41%
• Cash-on-cash: 28.98%
• DSCR: 2.29
• 1% rule: 1.73%
• Cash to close: $217,000

Investor read

• This is a 4 × 6-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $775k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($63k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $775k).
• It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($728k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $728k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $23k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 85/100 on livability (#33 in WA, #581 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+.
• North Thurston Public Schools (suburban): math 51% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #80 of 291 in WA (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 166 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,222 units permitted in Thurston County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Thurston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.4% rent growth), your $217k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 3.0% in Lacey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $13,414/mo this rent would consume 84% of the median local household income ($192k/yr) (locally 375% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.