1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
690 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 294 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,258/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$435
Tax + insurance
−$138
HOA
−$450
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$264
Net cashflow
$-29/mo
Annual
$-345/yr
Cap rate
5.88%
Cash-on-cash
-1.49%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
1.52%
Cash to close
$23,212
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $83k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-29 ($-345/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $79k (5.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $83k).
It's been on market 294 days — a 12% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $73k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $573 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 366 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 12% of the median local income ($123k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 294 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BDNPPPBVZ36Z38
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29