2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,047 sqft ·
Built —
· Other
· Active
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$956/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$417
Tax + insurance
−$98
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$201
Net cashflow
$240/mo
Annual
$2,879/yr
Cap rate
9.91%
Cash-on-cash
12.93%
DSCR
1.58
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$22,260
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($956 rent vs $80k).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($550 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#320 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Hardin County CUSD 1 (rural): math 7% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #564 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP.
Hardin County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $69k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BE286838RJ5NB8
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29