3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,198 sqft ·
Built 1987
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 451 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,252/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,500
Tax + insurance
−$293
HOA
−$80
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$683
Net cashflow
$696/mo
Annual
$8,352/yr
Cap rate
9.21%
Cash-on-cash
10.43%
DSCR
1.46
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$80,080
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $286k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $696 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $286k).
It's been on market 451 days — a 12% lower offer ($252k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $252k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in AL, #3,280 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Madison City (suburban): math 51% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #4 of 129 in AL (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Horizon Elementary School (math 53% / reading 78%, grade B+, #37 of 627 statewide, top 6%, 547 students, 34% FRL); Discovery Middle School (math 46% / reading 69%, grade B, #13 of 257 statewide, top 5%, 1,334 students, 25% FRL); Bob Jones High School (math 53% / reading 51%, grade D+, #11 of 305 statewide, top 4%, 1,920 students, 24% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 390 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $132k; list at $286k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 2.6% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 451 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BE37GBFTC6F6AJ
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29