3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,536 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Manufactured
· Active
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,170/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$96
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$246
Net cashflow
$-10/mo
Annual
$-123/yr
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.28%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$44,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-10 ($-123/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (1.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (26.9% below list).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $117k (26.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Stigler (town): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #151 of 270 in OK (top 56%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Stigler Es (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #168 of 845 statewide, top 24%, 448 students, 0% FRL); Stigler Ms (math 14% / reading 18%, grade F, #213 of 345 statewide, top 62%, 354 students, 0% FRL); Stigler Hs (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #150 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 385 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Haskell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Haskell County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BEBJ1J7B73XKBH
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29