3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,107 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,277/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,736
Tax + insurance
−$498
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$688
Net cashflow
$355/mo
Annual
$4,258/yr
Cap rate
7.58%
Cash-on-cash
4.59%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$92,680
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $331k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $328k (1.0% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($326k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $326k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#581 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Dr. Mary Mcleod Bethune Elementary (math 28% / reading 25%, grade F, #2,009 of 2,144 statewide, top 94%, 540 students, 87% FRL); John F. Kennedy Middle School (math 28% / reading 29%, grade F, #482 of 571 statewide, top 85%, 826 students, 78% FRL); William T. Dwyer High School (math 36% / reading 58%, grade D-, #207 of 667 statewide, top 32%, 2,206 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 52% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 506 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $170k; list at $331k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,277/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BFCY6Y62NWCZMS
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29