4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,554 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 66 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,023/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,495
Tax + insurance
−$327
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$425
Net cashflow
$-223/mo
Annual
$-2,681/yr
Cap rate
5.35%
Cash-on-cash
-3.36%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$79,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $285k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-223 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $246k (13.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (29.0% below list).
It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $202k (29.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#12 in IN, #1,149 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
Valparaiso Community Schools (suburban): math 56% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #18 of 301 in IN (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Flint Lake Elementary School (math 50% / reading 52%, grade C-, #262 of 994 statewide, top 27%, 474 students, 43% FRL); Thomas Jefferson Middle School (math 45% / reading 56%, grade C, #43 of 330 statewide, top 14%, 640 students, 41% FRL); Valparaiso High School (math 60% / reading 78%, grade B, #19 of 369 statewide, top 5%, 2,098 students, 30% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 259 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 542 units permitted in Porter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Porter County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $220k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.9% in Valparaiso — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BFKY185A7BT98J
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29