5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,917 sqft ·
Built 1987
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 229 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,334/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$959
Tax + insurance
−$305
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$280
Net cashflow
$-210/mo
Annual
$-2,517/yr
Cap rate
4.92%
Cash-on-cash
-4.91%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$51,212
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $183k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-210 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $153k (16.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (27.0% below list).
It's been on market 229 days — a 12% lower offer ($161k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $133k (27.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Chester County (rural): math 42% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #15 of 139 in TN (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Jacks Creek Elementary (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #546 of 952 statewide, top 61%, 128 students, 0% FRL); Chester County Junior High School (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #56 of 333 statewide, top 17%, 608 students, 0% FRL); Chester County High School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #33 of 332 statewide, top 10%, 811 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 229 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-BHY9YHC6SEVQNV
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29